Durable Goods
« Just Bad Matt | Main | New BlogToy to test out, guys! »OK, just so this post is not a complete stat dump, I'll start with this:

If you don't want read much in the way of stats, then turn away.
Chris Carpenter was pulled after 4 innings and 4 runs. It wasn't a terrible outing, as part of the problem was Carpenter didn't scatter the hits like he normally has this season. But I'm probably not the only one who's a little uneasy with Carpenter's handling at the end of the year, after the 120-pitch outing for his 20th W and the Cardinals' announcement that they don't plan on giving Carpenter extra rest this month, even with the two off-days this week.
The brass has earned the benefit of the doubt however. Specifically in 2004, the Cardinals enjoyed 154 starts from their top five starters. With only 11 games left, five pitchers have accounted for all but two starts this season. So I got to wondering how often do teams get all but, say, 10 of their starts from five pitchers in consecutive seasons (different five in different seasons is OK)? The Lahman Database has these answers. Actually it has too many answers, as my first query dug up some odd stuff. Anyway, here's the list since World War II, with games started by the non-top five.:
Year Team GS 1 1993 ATL 6 2 1994 ATL 2 1995 ATL 3 3 2002 ATL 6 2003 ATL 3 4 1969 BAL 7 5 1970 BAL 3 6 1971 BAL 7 7 1972 BAL 2 8 1973 BAL 8 9 1974 BAL 10 1975 BAL 6 10 1977 BAL 5 11 1978 BAL 5 12 1979 BAL 5 13 1980 BAL 7 14 1981 BAL 5 1982 BAL 8 15 1970 CHN 10 1971 CHN 10 16 1950 CIN 10 1951 CIN 7 17 1968 HOU 10 1969 HOU 10 18 1971 LAN 8 19 1972 LAN 5 20 1973 LAN 4 21 1974 LAN 10 22 1975 LAN 8 23 1976 LAN 6 1977 LAN 4 24 1993 LAN 2 1994 LAN 1 25 1971 NYA 4 1972 NYA 10 26 1980 OAK 3 1981 OAK 6 27 1989 OAK 7 1990 OAK 3
The list is dominated by the Earl Weaver Orioles (so that's why they always talk about his method of breaking-in pitchers) and the 70's Dodgers. The last time the Cardinals had back-to-back seasons accomplishing this feat, they were known as the Browns. In fact 1985 and 2000 are the only other seasons in the last hundred years where the Cardinals got fewer than ten starts from their contingency plans. Dave Duncan, who by the way caught for those Orioles for a couple of years, has earned some leeway here. Of course, the worst season was 1998, when the Cardinals had 63 games from their non-top five.
Posted by Rob at September 19, 2005 01:28 AMLarry Walker is so... Canadian.
Posted by: MO Boiler at September 19, 2005 11:22 AMHe's got those South Park eyes.
Posted by: Rob at September 19, 2005 04:26 PMTavarez in his shorts is something I can do without seeing ever again.
Posted by: bellyscratcher at September 19, 2005 08:00 PM