Eight is Enough

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Continuing on the theme about the pitching, the Cardinals have completed exactly two-thirds of the season. That lends itself to some easy comparison versus the prior season totals. I'll borrow from Lee Sinins and look at run-saved above average (RSAA), assuming average is around 4.5 runs per 9 innings. For even more kicks, I'll look at runs saved above replacement level (RSAR), assuming replacement level is 6.0 runs per 9 innings. I'll pro-rate 2006 to an entire season by simply multiplying by 1.5. I'm going to group the relievers into closer, right-handers and left-handers.

Pitcher RSAA RSAR

2006 2005 2006 2005
Carpenter, Chris 28.8 38.8 64.8 79.1
Mulder, Mark -28.0 12.5 -5.8 46.7
Marquis, Jason -38.0 -6.5 -1.2 28.0
Suppan, Jeff -23.5 4.2 6.7 36.6
Morris, Matt
-4.7
27.4
Ponson, Sidney -11.5
5.7
Reyes, Anthony -0.5 2.7 12.3 4.9
Weaver, Jeff -13.0
-8.3
Isringhausen, Jason 10.3 15.5 22.2 25.3
RHR 26.8 27.0 82.6 65.4
LHR -15.0 -0.7 -0.6 16.6
TOTAL -63.6 88.8 178.4 330.0

The starting rotation has been a disaster and the lefty specialists haven't been much better. The right-handed setup men have sorta maintained their value, but they're on pace to pitch almost 50% more innings than in 2005 (223.7 IP thus far in 2006 versus 230 IP in all of 2005). While Isringhausen also is on pace for a few extra innings, he's not the problem either, as his 2005 run performance was unsustainably excellent.

Posted by Rob at August 5, 2006 09:39 AM
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