Four Little Diamonds
« The View | Main | More of the Malaise »No known way to tie these all together, except to categorize them as the 2006 malaise:
• Someone might want to tell Jim Edmonds that if he wants to play against lefties, then he can't give away at-bats like he did against Zach Duke. Someone also might want to tell Edmonds that sometimes honesty isn't the best policy.
• Mark Mulder's rehab start didn't go well, as you probably know by now. However Mulder could give some lessons to Edmonds on how to answer probing interview questions:
Whatever happens, happens. There are bigger things than just worrying about next season. ... I want to get back and help the team win some games.
OK, he does yield more insight than the Crash Davis quote implies. Mulder thinks it's just a matter of getting his muscle memory right, establishing consistency with his delivery.
• So Taguchi isn't the primary reason or secondary or tertiary or... for the Cardinals' mediocre performance to date. He is a decent example of why the Cardinals aren't doing as well in 2006 as they were in 2005 though. Last night he played a routine deep flyout into a double and the day before that he forgot how many outs there were, allowing a runner to move up a base. His defense has looked so terrible in 2006 that it's hard to believe he'll be back in 2007. Yes, I remember Taguchi forgetting the number of outs in a game in 2005, but of course he threw that runner out. That's the way 2005 went. The Cardinals haven't had those little things go their way in 2006, and the lesson I'm taking from that is not to draw conclusions about the team's character or LaRussa's genius from "little things."
• So let's look at the big things. Even after yesterday's flailing against the dreaded soft-tossing lefty, the Cardinals remain on pace to score 800 runs, a mere 5 runs below their 2005 total. It doesn't feel that way, does it? Even bigger than that, Baseball Prospectus has introduced a new Playoff Odds report based on Elo. Sagarin has been using Elo for his college basketball ratings for years. Anyway, BPro's Elo report has the Cardinals at an 85% probability of making the playoffs. Doesn't feel that way either, does it? The same report says the Astros have caught the Reds.
Posted by Rob at August 12, 2006 10:49 AM"Throwing mainly fastballs and hitting 88-90 mph on the organization's radar guns..."
I was at the game Friday in Memphis. I don't think either I or the friend who accompanied me to the game saw Mulder get a pitch above 85-6 mph. And then not that often. Mostly in the low 80s (according to the AutoZone display.
Didn't. Look. Good. At. All.
Posted by: Len Cleavelin at August 14, 2006 12:23 PMGood (or bad) to know, Len. It's safe to say I don't expect a damn thing out of Mulder when he returns. The best idea is to keep him out another month or so in the off chance that it'll strengthen his shoulder for the playoffs - give him 1 or 2 starts to get his arm back in late September, and pray.
Being a huge fan of Edmonds, I'm a bit frustrated about the media coverage of his recent contract issues. It's probably tough on him to be "in limbo" about whether or not his option is picked up, but who cares? $10 mil for an option sounds like a lot, but the buyout for $3 mil is among the highest I've ever seen. For a net $7 mil, I'd say Jimmy's worth it for another year if the team remains in a "win-now" mode. Yeah, he's bad against lefties and not a 160-game guy anymore, but he's at least league average in the field and well above ahainst RHP at the plate - you're not gonna find another CF like that that's willing to take a 1-year deal, even at age 38. Get a Jason Michaels, Shane Victorino or similar as a backup and we'll be very good in CF.
Posted by: MO Boiler at August 14, 2006 04:51 PM